Research Question
Under limited demonstration data and hidden command-application delay, does a policy benefit more from observation history or controller-level memory of overlapping action predictions? The working title is “Observation Memory or Prediction Memory under Hidden Delay?” The mechanism study is ongoing.
Why It Matters
A robot may observe the present while earlier commands are still waiting to execute. Observation history and aggregation of past predictions offer different ways to handle that mismatch. A controlled comparison must separate them from prediction horizon, the number of actions executed before replanning, and data volume.
My Role and Research Process
I am developing the protocol and training/evaluation infrastructure, organizing paired scenarios and nested demonstration subsets, and checking controller behavior and reproducibility. The process starts with a reference baseline and auditable controls before testing the memory hypotheses.
Study Design
The main protocol uses image-based Diffusion Policy and Drake Push-T. It fixes executed prefix E = 1 and prediction horizon H = 16, varying observation history C, aggregation window W, demonstration count N, and hidden FIFO command delay D. Nested subsets use N = 25, 50, 100, and 180. Generation evaluations (NFE), executed prefix E, and command delay D are distinct variables.
Paired scenario manifests and sampling seeds support matched comparisons. DBP and controlled ACT-CVAE, ACT-no-VAE, and Drifting-ACT comparisons are proposed or gated extensions, not completed findings. The memory hypotheses remain hypotheses.
Findings and Evidence
Implemented work includes upstream training/evaluation integration, paired scenario manifests, nested subsets, history and aggregation controllers, FIFO delay tests, and audit logging. The Stage0 record reports 47 local tests and two byte-identical reproducibility runs of two rollouts each. These are engineering checks, not evidence of a memory mechanism’s advantage.
The provisional upstream-reference evaluation compared final and best EMA checkpoints on the same 50 scenarios and sampling seeds: 41/50 (82%) versus 38/50 (76%), from one training seed. This baseline used C2/rawH16 with 15 future actions and E8; it is not the main H16/E1 experiment. It does not establish a memory-type improvement, a multi-seed conclusion, or a new method outperforming the baseline.
Limitations and Reflection
The full mechanism study is unfinished. Reference-checkpoint results come from one training seed; small reproducibility checks do not establish robust task performance. Historical incomplete pilots are not treated as completed cross-seed results. Controller semantics and evaluation provenance must be fixed before interpreting performance differences.
What I Can Do Next
Complete controlled H16/E1 mechanism experiments, repeat across training seeds, and examine paired outcomes across data sizes and delays. Architecture extensions should follow their protocol gates. These are future experiments, not measured improvements.
Source note: repository experiment design v0.3, September 23 Stage0 and Drake smoke records, and the paired baseline summary. Source repository (private; collaborator access required). Verification is reported from those records; this page does not claim to have rerun the research experiments.
研究问题
在示范数据有限且指令执行延迟不可见时,策略更受益于观测历史,还是控制器对重叠动作预测的记忆?暂定标题为“隐藏延迟下的观测记忆还是预测记忆?”。机制研究仍在进行。
为什么重要
机器人可能观察到当前状态,但先前指令仍在等待执行。观测历史与过去预测的聚合,是应对这种错位的不同方式。受控比较必须将它们与预测时域、重新规划前执行的动作数及数据量分开。
项目角色与研究过程
我正在构建协议和训练、评估基础设施,组织配对场景及嵌套示范子集,并检查控制器行为和可复现性。流程先建立参考基线与可审计的控制条件,再检验记忆假设。
实验设计
主协议使用基于图像的 Diffusion Policy 与 Drake Push-T,固定执行前缀 E = 1、预测时域 H = 16,改变观测历史 C、聚合窗口 W、示范数量 N 和隐藏 FIFO 指令延迟 D。嵌套子集采用 N = 25、50、100、180。生成评估次数(NFE)、执行前缀 E 和指令延迟 D 是不同变量。
配对场景清单与采样种子支持匹配比较。DBP,以及受控的 ACT-CVAE、ACT-no-VAE、Drifting-ACT 比较,属于拟议或需满足条件后开展的扩展,不是已完成的发现。记忆机制假设仍是待检验假设。
结果与证据
已实现的工作包括上游训练与评估集成、配对场景清单、嵌套子集、历史与聚合控制器、FIFO 延迟测试和审计日志。Stage0 记录报告了 47 项本地测试,以及两次各含两个 rollout、输出逐字节一致的可复现性运行。这些是工程检查,不能证明某种记忆机制更优。
暂时性的上游参考评估在相同的 50 个场景和采样种子上比较最终 EMA 与最佳 EMA 检查点:分别为 41/50(82%)和 38/50(76%),仅来自一个训练种子。该基线采用 C2/rawH16,含 15 个未来动作,执行前缀为 E8;它不是主协议的 H16/E1 实验,不能证明记忆类型带来提升、多训练种子结论或新方法优于基线。
局限与反思
完整机制研究尚未完成。参考检查点结果来自一个训练种子,小规模可复现性检查不能证明稳定的任务表现。历史未完成的先导实验不作为已完成的跨种子结果。解释性能差异前,必须先固定控制器语义和评估来源。
下一步探索
完成受控的 H16/E1 机制实验,使用多个训练种子重复,比较不同数据量与延迟下的配对结果。架构扩展应在满足协议条件后开展。这些是后续实验,不是已经测得的提升。
来源说明:仓库实验设计 v0.3、9 月 23 日 Stage0 与 Drake 冒烟测试记录,以及配对基线摘要。源码仓库(私有,需要协作者权限)。验证记录来自这些文档,不声称本页重新运行了研究实验。